New American Research Poll. This one is interesting because it includes likely voters instead of adults or Republican adults. I want cross-tabs on this. Republicans National Giuliani 34% McCain 30% Gingrich 12% Undecided 9% Romney 7% Brownback 1% Gilmore 1% Hagel 1% Huckabee 1% Pataki 1% Paul 1% Tancredo 1% Read more…
This is something that I’ve been wondering about for a while. Daniel Casse puts it together nicely. What happened to the Reagan coalition and how is it going to get put together? Or are we going to need to find a new one? Casse comes down on "find a new Read more…
A couple of weeks ago, Mitt Romney went up with ads. And a number of people said that if his numbers didn’t move, he was toast. Well, in Florida, they aren’t moving. From a new 3-state (OH, FL, PA) Quinnipiac: FL OH PA Giuliani 38% 35% 43% McCain 18 Read more…
I think that’s what Vin Weber is saying, "I don’t want to contribute to my own party’s demoralization, and it doesn’t necessarily mean there will be a Democratic landslide, but I think there is a thumb on their side of the scale that’s not going to come off until after Read more…
George Will argues that there will not be another Reagan or another Reagan movement. While that may not mean we return to a Burkean pessimism, it may mean that we need a new framework. Reagan was a great politician because he was a function of his context. Which of our Read more…
A couple of days I wrote on the results of the Diageo/Hotline poll. Most people have focused on the Presidential results. BlogPI has written about McCain’s credibility on security with Republicans. I started looking at how GOPers prioritize issues, and thought it had some interesting presidential implications. So here’s the Read more…
Mitt Romney’s announcement of former Speaker Denny Hastert’s support points out something that I’ve been thinking for a while. Mitt Romney is running an insider campaign in Washington, and this has a bunch of interesting implications. This is actually part of a series in which I’ll look at how the Read more…
Between attending the RNC meeting, being sick, and busy, I hadn’t really had much time to pay attention to the recently released Hotline/Diaego poll. Blog PI brought it back to my attention with his great discussion of the war issue for McCain in it. I was struck by another set Read more…
California’s Flash Report has two posts (here and here) about the GOP money that is getting lined up in California. A summary below: John McCain: Jon Fleishman calls Donald Bren "the biggest prize in the sweepstakes for prominent figures in the California Republican finance community". One California consultant told me Read more…
Jerome Armstrong, at myDD, and Kos have started to write on the primary calendar. They have both argued that, to some extent, it favors John McCain. Two points should be made. First, it won’t be as compressed as it looks. There is strong evidence that New Hampshire will move up Read more…