The Politico’s Jonathan Martin has an interesting article on potential struggles for Rudy Giuliani in Iowa. Hotline’s Marc Ambinder has a partial rebuttal this morning. And Sunday, AP’s Mike Glover had an interesting story about difficulties faced by conservatives in Iowa right now: As the 2008 race takes shape, these Read more…
This post emerges from some a number of sources including some recent polls and articles that I will reference, some discussions with conservatives in other countries, and Rob Bluey’s recent blogger lunch on the topic. Let me start with a summary of where the GOP candidates are on the issue. Read more…
This is a big deal, and Ryan Sager has it.. Rudy Giuliani was endrosed by Steve Forbes today. Forbes ran in 2000 and performed well, 30%, in Iowa, and so-so in New Hampshire. But what Forbes has is a network and lists. One of my persistent criticisms of the Giuliani Read more…
Well, we have our first set of polls with Fred Thompson in the race. What happens? First, Rudy Giuliani loses a lot of support to Thompson. That is a surprise, but not entirely. I suspect that these are the people who like Rudy, don’t like McCain so much and want Read more…
So Caucus Cooler finds… How long will this one stand?
Several things have come together for Mike Huckabee recently. National Journal is giving him a bump. He picks up some good staff in New Hampshire. He gets called one of the two options for Evangelicals (although McCain is getting some attention). For Huckabee, there are two or three issues. First, Read more…
In 2000, the Iowa Caucus results were: Candidate % Bush 41 Forbes 30 Keyes 14 Bauer 9 McCain 5 Only 2 of the top 5 candidates were even serious contenders in later states. Fifty-four percent of the vote went to people who were clearly dead in the water. (and 5% Read more…
I keep hearing that Rudy will have a good Iowa operation. Hiring Jim Nussle is a good start. I bet some people in Iowa have whiplash.
There has been some debate over Sam Brownback’s position on the Iraq war. First, of all, the visuals were pretty good. By announcing his position from Iraq, he got a certain kind of credibility. A sort of, "I’m here, I can see what’s going on, and I think it’s a Read more…
Krusty has a great analysis of what is going on in Iowa. Romney does have some substantial advantages on the ground. And it will be interesting to see what happens when MoveOn goes on the air next week against McCain.