Strategy
Possibility of a brokered convention?
I agree that this is a real possibility on the GOP side. Mike Tomasky discusses how it might arise on the Democratic side.
More on technology and the right
David All, Michael Turk, and Patrick Ruffini, have all weighed in in the latest round on technology and the GOP. David is a web 2.0 proponent. Michael has a different take: This is illustrative of a larger problem the GOP has. This is where I part with David on his Read more…
PBA decision impact
I have not yet decided what the impact of the Partial Birth Abortion decision will be on 2008. I see two scenarios. Will the narrative that emerges be about abortion or about judges? John McCain and Mitt Romney will want to talk about partial birth abortion and abortion. It is Read more…
Iowa Lincoln Day Dinner: Is Jim Gilmore an idiot?
Krusty has a great write up of the Iowa Lincoln Day dinner. So does Kavon at Race42008. I can’t add much to their reporting, so I will get it be. However, I will note that Jim Gilmore continued to look like an idiot. And I’m not referring to his flop Read more…
Another take on the right and the left online
Since I am relatively new to politics online, although neither politics nor technology, I followed the conversation last week between Patrick Ruffini, Rob Bluey, David All, Michael Turk (here and here), and Matt Stoller, with comments from Conn Carroll, with interest but I did not jump in. But between that Read more…
GOP Candidates and Federalism
Yesterday and today (in response to Andrew Sullivan), Hotline’s Marc Ambinder pointed out that Rudy Giuliani is, perhaps, making a dodge on a variety of issues by invoking federalism. In essence, Marc’s position is: By not saying something like I think the flag is divisive, and I don’t like it. Read more…
GOP Winning in 2008
Kavon over at Race 4 2008 got me back to this little project I have of comparing general election matchups for various GOP candidates.
Rasmussen has started to collect general election matchups. I have collected them and presented them in, what I think, is the clearest and most useful format (note that these are not all from the same poll, so methodologically, there is something deeply unsound about this. RCP averages would be great):
| Clinton | Obama | Edwards | Fav – UnFav | % unknown | |
| Giuliani | +8 | +1 | +7 | +33 | 3% |
| McCain | +7 | 0 | -9 | +17 | 3% |
| Thompson | +1 | -12 | -14 | +13 | 41% |
| Gingrich | -7 | -10 | -5 | 9% | |
| Romney | -9 | -15 | -26 | -5 | 31% |
| Brownback | -5 | -15 | -19 | 43% |
Analysis of the digits after the jump.
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Iraq and 2008: A ballot issue and two visions
There was an interesting exchange yesterday at the Politico. Tom DeLay and Martin Frost agreed that Iraq is likely to be the dominant issue of the 2008 Presidential election. DeLay stated it as a certainty, but Frost allowed for the possibility that we might pull out: The only question is Read more…
24% of Iowa Caucus-goers …
According to The Fix, that’s the number that self-identify as the religious right. That’s interesting in its own right.
Interesting new Gallup poll
Gallup just released their new April poll. There are some interesting things going on inside. First, an omnibus table with all the numbers, margin of error is 5%: Candidate GOP % Without Newt GOP Fav GOP UnFav Overall Fav Overall UnFav Rudy Giuliani 38 42 77 14 61 27 John Read more…