So, Rudy Giuiliani is up on the air. The AP links these to Ames, but I wonder… Could these be linked to his falling poll numbers? Stay with me for a second. I have long thought that MItt Romney’s numbers in the early states are somewhat inflated because he is Read more…
Hillary Zogby Fox Giuliani Hillary +5 Hillary +5 McCain Hillary +3 Hillary +2 Now, normally, I don’t blog about day to do day polls. But … Is John McCain going up in general election polls against Hillary, compared to Giuliani? In both of these, McCain is within the Read more…
The other day, I mentioned that Fred Thompson’s name ID was lower than Mitt Romney’s. I got some push back. Rasmussen has some numbers that confirm my assertion. This has been the case for a long, long time. GOP Overall Fav Unfav Image Unknown Fav Unfav Giuliani 71 Read more…
Earlier in the week, Mitt Romney released his "Ocean" ad. Jonathan Martin, typically exuberant in his praise of Romney, had this to say: Second, it seems as though this ad is yet more evidence of Romney trying to "close the deal" with social conservatives. The campaign increasingly views Fred Thompson Read more…
After writing about Virginia and West Virginia polling yesterday, I got thinking about one of the discussions that is not taking place on the internet right now. The question is pretty simple: who will be the swing voters of 2008? Several possible answers. But let me start with some facts, Read more…
I missed these because I was in Florida at the Young Republican convention. Two stories about the GOP in light red states. First, Marc Ambinder references an old poll that has Hillary up substantially in West Virginia: A survey of 400 likely voters completed in May by the political consulting Read more…
So, Pollster.com , from Survey USA, has some interesting data about the Libby Sentence Commutation. I am not actually interested at all in writing about the results of the poll regarding Libby. (although it was fascinating how disconnected conservative voters are from the conservative chattering classes) I’ve presented the partisan Read more…
Yesterday, Marc Ambinder reported about a poll taken by Fabrizio McLaughlin. Liz Mair had some of the top-line numbers. The Hill and the Boston Globe wrote a little about it, but frankly, I think that they missed the real stories in here. I got my hands on the presentation, and Read more…
Get an honest answer: "When we walked through the series of measures that are being proposed, we got 77 percent of Republicans, 72 percent of Democrats, and 70 percent of independents supporting it," says Goeas (pronounced GO-as). "There’s not a piece of research I’ve seen that, if you explain each Read more…
Lots of ink has been spilled over how hard the 2008 environment is going to be for Republicans. This mostly focuses on Bush and Iraq. While most of this is correct, I wonder how overwhelming this will be. Gallup underscores the argument: The percentage of Americans with a "great deal" Read more…