The LA Times reminds us the most important number in the recent NH polls: But that’s not the most important data in this survey. What’s most important is the little-noticed numbers revealing that with slightly less than two months to go before the voting, 48% of Democrats and fully 60% Read more…
I normally don’t write about polls, especially ARG polls. But I was struck by two things in the most recent batch. The first one, which lots of people have talked about is Mitt Romney’s rise in South Carolina. That’s new. Is it real? Is it TV moving numbers? But the Read more…
I have two questions about the possibility of a December NH primary: Can candidates collect matching funds for that? What are the mechanics of that? When do they actually get the money? It is clear that John McCain has more than enough money to compete if he takes matching funds. Read more…
There have been whispers for a while that there could be a December primary. Roger Simon now argues that it is increasingly likely that there could be a December 11th primary in New Hampshire. On the Democratic side, that seems to favor Hillary Clinton. She is up some silly amount Read more…
I saw this press release from Mitt Romney’s campaign. I asked Patrick Hynes, who is the blog-outreach guy for John McCain, what he thought of it. His first response was to tell a joke: First, I think that John Lynch has higher favorability among New Hampshire Republicans than Mitt Romney. Read more…
There’s a fight over taxes between Mitt Romney and Rudy Giuliani. Yesterday, Romney accused Rudy of supporting a commuter tax. But, as always seems to be the case for Romney, whose operating principle seems to be "what is good for me is not good for thee," Romney raised the commuter Read more…
Jan. 5: Iowa caucuses both parties Jan. 8 New Hampshire primary both parties Jan. 12 Nevada caucuses both parties Jan. 15 Michigan GOP primary; Dem beauty contest Jan. 19 South Carolina primary both parties Jan. 29 Florida GOP primary; Dem beauty contest Marc Ambinder reports the schedule. The most interesting Read more…
Earlier today, Jonathan Martin pointed out the new www.phoneyFred.org website: Clearly, though, this is no amateur effort. The volume of information and the way that it’s sourced reeks of a grasstops hit-job. Repeatingly calling Thompson "Phoney Fred" in the on-message style of political operatives, the site offers up unflattering quotes Read more…
When I was at the New Hampshire GOP debate, I ran into a Republican who is a die-hard volunteer for the ONE campaign. Michael is a former Marine and told me a great story about sharing the ONE campaign’s vision with other Marines at a Rudy Giuliani event a couple Read more…