I am curious. If, as David Yepsen notes, Mike Huckabee is doing well in Iowa, it might be because Iowa caucus-goers are relatively strange. We already know that Iowa GOP caucus-goers are much more anti-war than the national party. We also know that Iowa caucus-goers are more religious than the Read more…
Marc Ambinder has the story. It seems to me that there are some real consequences to this. First, doesn’t an exciting win (say Mike Huckabee or Fred Thompson) or a blowout by Mitt Romney get buzz-killed by the probably-more-interesting Democratic race? Is one real day of news about the GOP Read more…
Candidate % Romney 29 Thompson 18 Huckabee 12 Giuliani 11 McCain 7 I normally don’t like to write on polls, but I think that this one tells us a lot about the future of the GOP race in Iowa. David Yepsen comments here. I am going to write this as Read more…
Candidate % Romney 29 Thompson 18 Huckabee 12 Giuliani 11 McCain 7 I normally don’t like to write on polls, but I think that this one tells us a lot about the future of the GOP race in Iowa. David Yepsen comments here. I am going to write this as Read more…
Real Clear Politics polling suggests that Mitt Romney has not been able to maintain his bump from the Ames Straw Poll. Is Romney peaking? Did people take a second look at him after Ames and …. pass? Romney is the yellow line in the RCP averages. It appears that Romney’s Read more…
Jan. 5: Iowa caucuses both parties Jan. 8 New Hampshire primary both parties Jan. 12 Nevada caucuses both parties Jan. 15 Michigan GOP primary; Dem beauty contest Jan. 19 South Carolina primary both parties Jan. 29 Florida GOP primary; Dem beauty contest Marc Ambinder reports the schedule. The most interesting Read more…
Yesterday, the Biden-Brownback plan passed the Senate with 75 votes. For the first time, someone on both the left and the right can claim genuine progress on pulling out troops. As Marc Ambinder points out, this is a good talking point for Biden, where Joe Biden is counting that liberal Read more…
According to Alexander Bolton in The Hill: Political experts in Iowa say top-tier Republican presidential candidates are facing growing pressure from two social conservatives who may grab one of the “three tickets out of Iowa” because of greater organizational strength. As a result, candidates such as Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), Read more…
Here are some facts and a hypothesis: FairTax had 20-30 buses. (how can a 501(c)(4) give to a state party??) Mike Huckabee had no buses. The FairTax had enormous presence and good location. Mike Huckabee had a bad location and little on-site staff. But, Huckabee was the only candidate to Read more…
Some time, some pushback, some reading, and some conversaton has filled out my thinking on Ames. Mike Huckabee is clearly the story coming out of Ames for a couple of reasons. The first reason is that he got a bump. A big one. He will be able to raise money Read more…