Strategy
Possibility of a brokered convention?
I agree that this is a real possibility on the GOP side. Mike Tomasky discusses how it might arise on the Democratic side.
The blogosphere, Obama, and the media
Marc Ambinder writes, in response to Matt Yglesias, that Hillary Clinton is "not doomed! Yet!" and discusses her relationship with the blogosphere. The fundamental question is "does Hillary’s failure to catch on in the lefty blogosphere mean that she is doomed." Marc describes one way of answering the question: In Read more…
Another take on the right and the left online
Since I am relatively new to politics online, although neither politics nor technology, I followed the conversation last week between Patrick Ruffini, Rob Bluey, David All, Michael Turk (here and here), and Matt Stoller, with comments from Conn Carroll, with interest but I did not jump in. But between that Read more…
GOP Winning in 2008
Kavon over at Race 4 2008 got me back to this little project I have of comparing general election matchups for various GOP candidates.
Rasmussen has started to collect general election matchups. I have collected them and presented them in, what I think, is the clearest and most useful format (note that these are not all from the same poll, so methodologically, there is something deeply unsound about this. RCP averages would be great):
| Clinton | Obama | Edwards | Fav – UnFav | % unknown | |
| Giuliani | +8 | +1 | +7 | +33 | 3% |
| McCain | +7 | 0 | -9 | +17 | 3% |
| Thompson | +1 | -12 | -14 | +13 | 41% |
| Gingrich | -7 | -10 | -5 | 9% | |
| Romney | -9 | -15 | -26 | -5 | 31% |
| Brownback | -5 | -15 | -19 | 43% |
Analysis of the digits after the jump.
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Iraq and 2008: A ballot issue and two visions
There was an interesting exchange yesterday at the Politico. Tom DeLay and Martin Frost agreed that Iraq is likely to be the dominant issue of the 2008 Presidential election. DeLay stated it as a certainty, but Frost allowed for the possibility that we might pull out: The only question is Read more…
Why the Democrats shouldn’t run Congress…
Sorry for being a little off-topic, but I thought this was classic. Don Wolfensberger, one of the great Congressional procedure wonks, described in Roll Call ($) the procedure that allowed the GOP to amend a the DC vote bill with a DC gun ban provision. The whole event is a brilliant lesson in the hypocrisy of the House Democratic leadership. This is a long post and a little esoteric. So, if you are interested in Congressional procedure and Democratic hypocrisy, read more after the jump.
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House Armed Services stops using “Global War on Terror”
A little off the 2008 theme, but… Wow. The Military Times has the story: The House Armed Services Committee is banishing the global war on terror from the 2008 defense budget. This is not because the war has been won, lost or even called off, but because the committee’s Democratic Read more…
Poll: People supporting GOP on Iraq Supplemental
Roll Call ($) has the story. I argued a long time ago that Iraq was going to be more of a problem for the Democrats than the Republicans. What has happened since then? First, Bush is going to get to veto a pork-laden bill. And the people like that: The Read more…
Democratic double-talk on Iraq?
Really? I never… Indeed. Hillary says one thing in fundraisers and another in the Senate.
Hillary raises $26m
That’s the number from the Hotline. They note that, for her, that isn’t really that impressive. Furthermore, this is a primary and general number. As the Romney memo notes, this number is a little bunk. The NYT’s Caucus points out results for Joe Biden, $3m, and Bill Richardson, $6m. They Read more…