Marc Ambinder has a great article on the New Jersey delegate selection process. The idea is pretty simple. There is a push to make New Jersey’s primary "winner-take-all," meaning that the candidate with the plurality gets all 52 delegates.
The point is that other states may go this route. Utah good assign its 19 delegetes overnight to Mitt Romney doing the same thing. Perhaps New York with its 70 or 80 could too?
One interesting leading indicator of performance might be states making decisions to go winner-take-all or proportional. If state party leadership doesn’t like their likely winner, they take away delegates by going to proportional. If they do like the likely winner, they give them delegates with winner-take-all.
This puts another spin on Rich Lowry’s recent statement on Rudy regarding Rudy’s strategy for handling abortion and social conservatives:
It seems to me—unless the changing primary schedules have utterly scrambled the typical dynamic of the Republican primaries—that this is a foolish strategic choice.
This is precisely the sort of change, and not just in the calendar, that could change dynamic. Especially with a large number of credible candidates, this is also how you get into a brokered convention.
Minneapolis could be a lot of fun, and I’m not referring to the parties.
2 Comments
ee2793 · May 11, 2007 at 9:23 PM
[Sounds of crickets.] Gee, is this blog still here or has Soren finally announced for Hillary?
eye · May 11, 2007 at 10:23 PM
?? You are bewildered
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