Jen Rubin captures the most important dynamic leading into South Carolina:

Thompson gave himself an opening in South Carolina and gave conservatives a place to jump from the Romney leaking ship. He may have scuffed up Huckabee sufficiently to allow either himself or McCain to win SC. If the latter he ironically would have done his old friend the greatest of favors. (Perhaps one he might remember when it comes to filling VP slots should he get that far.)

Fred Thompson could be in a place to split the South Carolina conservative vote, especially with this nasty anti-Mike Huckabee ad running.

A John McCain win in Michigan, followed by Thompson knee-capping Huckabee in South Carolina could lead to a pretty positive place for McCain.


5 Comments

neil · January 11, 2008 at 11:40 AM

McCain lost in NH among the following subgroups of Republican primary voters: Opponents of civil unions for gay couples; people who approve of the war in Iraq; gun owners; self-identified Republicans; and conservatives. Doesn’t look too good for SC, but who knows.

muttley · January 11, 2008 at 11:48 AM

Do you think the “Willie Horton”-style attack will have traction? The story about DuMond and the pardon has been around a long time.

muttley · January 11, 2008 at 11:54 AM

Here’s the Arkansas Times
http://www.arktimes.com/Articles/ArticleViewer.aspx?ArticleID=154e1aad-fd18-4efd-8d80-b5dab8559419

eye · January 11, 2008 at 12:37 PM

I think that it might well. I don’t think that hte people in South Carolina know about it.

ee2793 · January 11, 2008 at 9:13 PM

Fred better re-stock his Viagra prescription because after SC he’s going to have a lot of time to spend with Jeri…

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