August 6-7 and August 8-9, 2007
The argument for Mitt Romney being the frontrunner is building. His successes in the early states are remarkable. However, he does have a problem. Is he actually electable in a general? A Rasmussen poll suggests that the answer is a clear no.
Rasmussen has a monthly poll measuring the size of the electorate who won’t vote for someone. You can see the summarized results to the right. Hillary is clearly still a polarizing figure, but Mitt Romney is too:
The Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey found that 44% of Likely Voters would definitely vote against Romney if he’s on the ballot in 2008. That’s a point higher than the 43% who would definitely vote against Clinton.
The bad news for Romney is that that is the good news. Here’s the bad news:
In terms of partisan reaction, it’s interesting to note that 25% of Republicans say they would definitely vote against Romney while 22% of Democrats would vote against Edwards.
2004 was a squeaker. Bush won by the skin of his teeth, with something like 90% of Republicans behind him. If Romney is losing 1-in-4, he is in deep, deep trouble.