Ok, now I have argued that electability will matter in this election. And early polls only matter a little. But the new Diageo/Hotline poll, via Pollster.com, should terrify Republicans:

  Clinton Obama Edwards
Rudy Giuliani +4 -9 -6
John McCain 0 -11 -11


That is, Rudy Giuliani is beating Clinton by 4%, and the rest is … a mess. And Hillary Clinton performs worst against the Republicans. Not surprising with fav/unfav of 48/51, net -3% with only 1% left to go.

Now, there is plenty more time for this stuff to change. But, especially McCain and Hillary are fixed. There is plenty that the country does not know about Giuliani, but it is hard to imagine how much of it is going to help.

The GOP should be scared.

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