Interesting new IA poll: They don’t like Iraq

Strategic Vision just released a poll of Iowa caucus-goers. I don’t want to focus on the horse-race numbers because it is so hard to do a likely voter screen in Iowa (nonetheless, they are after the jump, and we will let you debate whether or not Romney’s single-digits are still real). However there are some interesting things that are worth noting:

First Iraq:

4. Do you favor a withdrawal of all United States military from Iraq within the next six months? (Republicans Only)
Yes 52%
No 39%
Undecided 9%

I have argued for a while that the Iowa GOP is more anti-war than other states. This would also explain Mitt Romney’s recent flip-flop on Iraq.

They also ask:

3. How important is it for the Republican presidential candidate to be a conservative Republican in the mode of Ronald Reagan, very important, somewhat important, not very important, not important, undecided? (Republicans Only)
Very Important 39%
Somewhat Important 18%
Not Very Important 14%
Not Important 13%
Undecided 16%

But this does mean different things to different people… But only 6% believe that George Bush is like Reagan, so at least they get that straight….

Horserace after the jump…
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Do people vote on issues?

Michael Barone discusses the apparent transfer of votes between Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson and poses the following question and answer: But they must also be people who believe Giuliani and Thompson have something in common that they’d like to see in the White House. What is that? … Strong Read more…

Grover going with Rudy?

This would be interesting.  Chuck Todd and co. at NBC suggest that Grover Norquist may be signing on with Rudy Giuliani: Also in the article, it looks like Grover is about to come aboard. “Grover Norquist, the tax cut crusader and conservative strategist, said news reports about Giuliani’s personal life, Read more…

Iowa is weird… But complicated

The Politico’s Jonathan Martin has an interesting article on potential struggles for Rudy Giuliani in Iowa. Hotline’s Marc Ambinder has a partial rebuttal this morning. And Sunday, AP’s Mike Glover had an interesting story about difficulties faced by conservatives in Iowa right now: As the 2008 race takes shape, these Read more…

What does all this money stuff mean?

Update: Kung Fu Quip confirms my back-of-the-envelope calculations on Romney’s fundraising. Actually, he quotes Romney confirming it. Last night, I spent a lot of time on the phone with fundraisers and campaign operatives from around the country gossiping about the fundraising numbers. Here are some thoughts that emerged. First, Romney’s Read more…

The also-raised…

Sam Brownback got $2m. That’s 4x Mike Huckabee. That’s good for him. John McCain got $12.5m. Not so good… He is expected to have a high burn rate. What’s the COH? Read the statement for a little self-flagellation.. All in all, Mitt Romney won the day.