As we noted earlier, Right Wing News has an analysis why Rudy may not be acceptable. Ann Althouse argues that those reasons make him more attractive to her (self-consciously in the middle). She says:

But what about the potential to appeal to people like me who are in the middle? What I like about Giuliani is his ability to embody the strong national security position and to argue for it in clear, persuasive terms, without bringing along that social conservative baggage. All those people who vote for Democrats, are they doing it because they are into the party and all it seems to stand for? Or are they put off by the social conservatives on the other side?

Consider this next to the news that the RNC is sending volunteers to Chafee. Why? Because they believe that they have a way to turn volunteers into votes.

But the thing is, who is going to volunteer for Giuliani? Republican campaigns are full of right-to-lifers, gun guys, home schoolers, etc. These people make the phone calls and knock on the doors that make the difference in these elections. To the extent that moderate Republicans lose, it is because they don’t have these volunteers.

I look at a Giuliani presidential candidate and think: who is going to be the big volunteer base. More importantly, who is going to be his primary volunteer base?


1 Comment » Iowa is weird… But complicated · April 3, 2007 at 9:09 AM

[…] When writing about politics, especially primary politics, people often forget that people don’t often vote in blocs. In fact, that is the exception. "The social conservatives" won’t stop Rudy because they will be too busy voting for other people. "The social conservatives" only beat Rudy if they manage to decide on a candidate before the voting starts. That said, I still have a question for the Giuliani campaign. Who are your volunteers? You need them in Iowa and New Hampshire. These are not fly-by states. Caucus-goers and voters want to meet the candidate and talk to his volunteers. […]

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