12 May, 2008 (23:59) | Uncategorized | By: soren
In today’s Wall Street Journal, Doug Schoen, (admittedly a Clinton operative) points to Barack Obama’s values problem: Most importantly, he must answer this question once and for all: What are his values? … Exit polls in Indiana and North Carolina show clearly that fewer than 60% of white voters believe Mr. Obama shares their values. [...]
Tags: Barack Obama, John McCain, Politics, Strategy, The Next Right, Uncategorized
Comments: 16
30 August, 2007 (15:51) | Strategy | By: soren
So Mitt Romney released a new ad. A number of people have commented on the "legs" side of Romney’s ad, but I thought the "challenges" side was more interesting. Consider some quotes: "An Olympics hit by scandal and deficits" "He turned around dozens of companies" "State losing jobs with huge deficits … cutting spending instead [...]
Tags: Romney, Strategy
Comments: 1
11 July, 2007 (14:39) | Strategy | By: soren
After writing about Virginia and West Virginia polling yesterday, I got thinking about one of the discussions that is not taking place on the internet right now. The question is pretty simple: who will be the swing voters of 2008? Several possible answers. But let me start with some facts, provided by Democrats: In 2000, [...]
Tags: Polls, Strategy
Comments: 2
14 June, 2007 (13:11) | Strategy | By: soren
Patrick Ruffini argues that it doesn’t make sense for John McCain to be attacking Mitt Romney. His argument boils down to the fact that if the punch lands, it still leaves Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson standing and, probably, helps them. But there are a lot of strategic and tactical things going on here. First [...]
Tags: Life, McCain, Romney, Strategy
Comments: -
31 May, 2007 (20:10) | Strategy | By: soren
The Politco’s Mike Allen had the scoop on Fred Thompson yesterday. Race42008′s HeavyM pulled out a couple of important points but did not really elucidate. So let’s work on some details. First, the fundraising. As I said in April: Fourth, look at the timing that is being discussed. Novak says June. This freezes the money [...]
Tags: Fred Thompson, Fundraising, Iowa, Strategy
Comments: -
22 May, 2007 (16:59) | Strategy | By: soren
AmSpec’s Jim Antle said: I don’t understand the McCain camp’s insistence on focusing on the candidate behind them in most polls [Romney] rather than the candidate ahead of them in most polls [Giuliani]. The NYT’s Caucus blog has speculated on this too: The feud between Senator John McCain and former Gov. Mitt Romney is heating [...]
Tags: Giuliani, McCain, Romney, Strategy
Comments: 1
20 May, 2007 (19:24) | Strategy | By: soren
Hotline discusses the Des Moines Register’s new poll of Iowa likely caucusgoers. They say the numbers should be taken seriously, so I will. In this poll Mitt Romney gets 30% of the vote, John McCain gets 18%, and Rudy Giuliani gets 17%. I suspect that other polls will come out saying different things, but … [...]
Tags: Iowa, Polls, Romney, Strategy
Comments: 5
16 May, 2007 (09:30) | Strategy | By: soren
Matt Lewis writes an interesting comparison of Giuliani and McCain’s debate strategies. It occurs to me that more than any issue, which serve to validate Rudy Giuliani’s credentials, what he is really offering voters is his personality. Isn’t that right?
Tags: Giuliani, McCain, Strategy
Comments: -
7 May, 2007 (14:15) | Strategy | By: soren
Rudy Giuliani’s campaign held a blogger conference call with Campaign Manager Mike DuHaime and Communications Director Katie Levinson. Two things seemed quite clear to me. First, Rudy is running on his record as mayor. He is not wrapping himself around 9/11. This cuts both ways. On the one hand, no one in this country will [...]
Tags: Giuliani, Strategy
Comments: -
2 May, 2007 (07:29) | Strategy | By: soren
Count me, like Matt Lewis, as a Fred Thompson skeptic. A Fred Thompson adviser explained to the Politico that they don’t have to campaign because everyone knows who he is: "Well-known candidates can do things a little differently," explained one adviser. "You show up, you’re accessible, but you don’t have to go to every county [...]
Tags: Fred Thompson, Strategy
Comments: -