4 January, 2008 (10:08) | Uncategorized | By: soren
Yesterday, we saw Mitt Romney, the candidate of the establishment, the lobbyist class, the interest group class, etc., get rejected by the people of Iowa. David Brooks understands the broader implications, which I have also talked about: On the Republican side, my message is: Be not afraid. Some people are going to tell you that [...]
Tags: Huckabee, McCain, Republicans, Romney
Comments: 1
29 December, 2007 (09:41) | Uncategorized | By: soren
I highly recommend the book How Congress Evolves by the late Nelson Polsby to any student or practitioner of politics. Polsby documents the interplay between Congressional rules, demographic shift, and partisan realignment. The essential fact was that Southern congressional districts fell to the Republicans as a result of southern migration from the traditionally Republican Northeast [...]
Tags: Congress, Demographics, Redistricting, Republicans
Comments: -
12 December, 2007 (16:58) | Uncategorized | By: soren
The loser was clearly the moderator. What was Alan Keyes doing there? But I thought that Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, and Fred Thompson did well. Interestingly, CNN and Fox both had dial focus groups. CNN had a Huckabee clip that he performed well on. Fox had Romney and Thompson. Probably the most memorable piece was [...]
Tags: Debate, Iowa, Republicans
Comments: -
11 December, 2007 (11:39) | Environment | By: soren
CBS News has been running an interesting series called "Primary Questions." They ask the candidates a variety of policy and personal questions. Sometimes this format seems closer to what we’d like from a debate in terms of clarifying policy differences. However, it doesn’t always result in the nice contrasting sound-bites that you might otherwise get. [...]
Tags: Environment, Republicans
Comments: 1
11 December, 2007 (00:51) | Uncategorized | By: soren
My friend David Freddoso asks about the possibility of a brokered convention. What do we think of this? The first thing that I think is that a brokered convention would be very difficult for us. The biggest issue is fundraising. I don’t think that the party will be able to raise money. The issue profile [...]
Tags: Republicans
Comments: 2
30 November, 2007 (17:02) | Uncategorized | By: soren
There’s a lot of uncertainty in the race right now. The biggests questions are probably: First, will there be a Mitt Romney-Rudy Giuliani murder-suicide? Luntz focus groups suggest that Romney might have done better on immigration in the debate. Second, will Giuliani’s scandals continue? There’s Placa, Shag Fund, and others. Will they drive votes? Perhaps [...]
Tags: Republicans
Comments: -
29 November, 2007 (00:51) | Uncategorized | By: soren
I didn’t get the chance to live-blog this, but I did take notes. There were some great moments. Rudy Giuliani’s slap of Romney with "sanctuary mansion" was outstanding. Mike Huckabee’s handling of the death penalty question was masterful. The complexity of his answer to the literalism of the Bible question was even better, especially if [...]
Tags: Debate, Republicans
Comments: 1
26 November, 2007 (17:16) | Uncategorized | By: soren
Seemingly every day, there is a new piece by a high-profile Republican/conservative attacking Mike Huckabee for being some sort of "big government" conservative or even liberal. Today, it was Bob Novak. I’m not going to quibble on the points, although I would point out that in Northern Virginia, where I sit, raising taxes to fund [...]
Tags: Democrats, Demographics, Huckabee, Republicans
Comments: 2
7 November, 2007 (21:04) | Uncategorized | By: soren
It has been a pretty remarkable two days in terms of endorsements: Yesterday, Mitt Romney got Paul Weyrich. Weyrich had been rumored to be going with Fred Thompson, but not so much… And he said Mike Huckabee couldn’t win. This is certainly a DC-insider endorsement. Today, Rudy Giuliani got Pat Robertson. The impact of this [...]
Tags: Endorsements, Giuliani, Huckabee, McCain, Republicans, Romney, Social conservatives
Comments: -
5 November, 2007 (20:46) | Uncategorized | By: soren
The Ron Paul money bomb is amazing. On a certain level though, it makes a lot of sense. I’m about to make a totally obvious point: Ron Paul’s support is a protest vote. There are a lot of Republicans right now who are really angry. Republicans are furious with their party. In 2004, Dems were [...]
Tags: Fundraising, Paul, Republicans, Technology
Comments: 6