SorenDayton.com

Merely an aggregation of a dispersed life online

Skip to: Content | Sidebar | Footer

Tag: Online markets

Online markets prefer Edwards to Clinton in the general

21 August, 2006 (13:09) | Uncategorized | By: eye

H/T to Greg Mankiw for the analysis. The GOP markets at Tradesport only have McCain and Giuiliani, so I don’t think that they are very meaningful. But Mankiw points out what is interesting about the Democrat ones: [W]e can obtain for each candidate the conditional probability–the probability that the person will win the general election [...]