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Tag: New Hampshire

Why was the polling wrong in NH?

9 January, 2008 (01:48) | Uncategorized | By: soren

Matt Dabrowski, a pollster and a reader, sent in a letter about what happened with the broken polling in New Hampshire Just yesterday, some major media polls showed Barack Obama with a 10-point lead over Hillary Clinton. But Clinton won the New Hampshire primary by at least 3%. At the same time, John McCain posted [...]

What high turnout means: Organization doesn’t matter much

8 January, 2008 (14:32) | Uncategorized | By: soren

New Hampshire had the potential to be another passion versus organization fight. John McCain has had amazing events overflowing with people. Mitt Romney not so much, with some evidence of Massachusetts astroturf. The polls seemed to settle on a 3-5 margin for McCain. Normally, I would have added another point or two to Romney’s numbers [...]

Report from the polls

8 January, 2008 (12:47) | Uncategorized | By: soren

When I pulled into the Hooksett polling place around 6:30 AM, I came into a traffic jam. It was 15 minutes before I could get to a parking spot. Simply put, turnout was huge. The Union-Leader reports massive turnout. The Secretary of State has predicted a 500k turnout, and three or four campaigns are using [...]

Final NH debate

6 January, 2008 (22:43) | Uncategorized | By: soren

I think that Mitt Romney and John McCain did fine. Romney did much better than last night. McCain was more low-key and seemed dignified. Once again, Mike Huckabee and Fred Thompson played interference. I really doubt that this moved the ball too much.

Huckabee’s support more than Southern Evangelicals?

6 January, 2008 (15:07) | Uncategorized | By: soren

(cross-posted from Redstate) I just finished a Mitt Romney townhall in Nashua, NH. He had around 400 people, according to the campaign. I had just come from a similar event in Windham, just down the road, where Mike Huckabee had over 600. The Huckabee event clearly had more energy than the Romney event. One of [...]

McCain wins

5 January, 2008 (21:46) | Uncategorized | By: soren

The test of a debate is what is fixated in people’s heads. Those moments will be, almost certainly, the attacks on Mitt Romney. John McCain just needed to tread water. Not only did he do that, but he looked dignified except for, perhaps, going a little too far on poking Romney once. Fred Thompson ended [...]

McCain’s Peterborogh Townhall: “The Mac is Back”

5 January, 2008 (18:00) | Uncategorized | By: soren

(Crossposted from Redstate) From 2008-01, NH I just got to a computer after John McCain’s most recent townhall in Peterborough in western New Hampshire. Peterborough was the location of McCain’s famous 2000 town hall meeting that become a cover-story in Time Magazine. This year, it was McCain’s 100th town hall in New Hampshire. Apparently 750 [...]

A Romney NH townhall

5 January, 2008 (17:18) | Uncategorized | By: soren

(Crossposted from Redstate) Last night I attended a Mitt Romney townhall in Manchester, New Hampshire. The Politico’s Jonathan Martin has a report from the event. Several things struck me getting to the event. First, it was packed. Probably 250 or so people. Given the time and place, downtown Manchester on a Friday night, this is [...]

That’s an awful lot of money

4 January, 2008 (19:17) | Uncategorized | By: soren

(Crosspost from Redstate) Byron York learned today: I talked to a station official who told me that Mitt Romney was WHO’s second biggest advertiser in 2007. Second biggest – behind the number-one advertiser, Monsanto farm chemicals, and ahead of the number-three advertiser, Bayer farm chemicals. WHO is by far the biggest radio station in Iowa, [...]

A view on Iowa from New Hampshire

4 January, 2008 (07:47) | Uncategorized | By: soren

Cross-post from Redstate. I am posting there primarily, but I will try to cross-post here more. Mike Huckabee’s stunning victory in Iowa will have a number of consequences in New Hampshire, where I am now. Last night John McCain flew from Iowa to New Hampshire for his caucus-watching party. At the same time, Rudy Giuliani [...]