SorenDayton.com

As has been repeatedly noted, the primary calendar is strongly in flux. However, one of the most interesting questions is: what happens if New Hampshire moves up sharply, as I expect it will. Consider some facts: New Hampshire is committed (and empowered) to move up before, at least, Nevada, meaning that the latest it is [...]

I almost wasn’t even going to mention this because I had before. But there is one interesting little note. The New York GOP primary is winner-take-all. Did Spitzer just assign a bunch of delegates to Rudy with a pen?

Stateline has a good summary. Of course, it is basically wrong about New Hampshire, and therefore Florida and Wyoming. But….

One of the little known and little understood dramas of this presidential race is the date of the New Hampshire primary. Earlier this week James Pindell of the Boston Globe’s Primary Source wrote: “Like we have before we are going to honor the Iowa law,” said New Hampshire Secretary of State Bill Gardner to reporters [...]

Regular readers will know that one of my favorite topics is the primary calendar. Fascinating things are afoot. First, on Straight Talk Express, an experienced party hack told me that smart New Hampshire money is now on a December primary. As I have discussed before, New Hampshire and Bill Gardner are committed to preserving New [...]

Hotline points out that the GOP Nevada caucus might move into the window. At the same time, both parties in Washington are turning their primaries into beauty contests and selecting delegates in caucuses. Expect more states to follow this pattern. If Feb 5th does not determine the nominations, then caucuses could determine the nominee. On [...]

This is quite interesting… Apparently, the Florida state legislature is moving up the primary, again, to January 29th. This would be the same day as South Carolina, I believe. I see several implications: I believe that the Democrats will penalize Florida for this by either stripping their delegates or stripping a large number of them. [...]

I have argued for a long time that New Hampshire may move its primary up a lot. Seems that I may have been right: In 2008, he is widely expected to leapfrog six days ahead of Iowa, which would be Jan. 8, but no one knows for sure. The Iowa and New Hampshire governors can’t [...]

Apparently Washington is considering canceling its primary: Some state lawmakers are thinking about canceling next year’s presidential primary in Washington to save the $10 million cost of the election. … The chairman of the House state government committee, Sam Hunt of Olympia, says lawmakers should consider canceling the primary if it’s going to be nothing [...]

Feb. 7. That’s kind of weird. But the logic is sound. If February 5th does not end the nomination battle, Nevada gets the first bite at the apple. In the end, I think that Nevada is very good for both Mitt Romney and John McCain. It has both a large Mormon and large military population. [...]