Hotline discusses the Des Moines Register’s new poll of Iowa likely caucusgoers. They say the numbers should be taken seriously, so I will. In this poll Mitt Romney gets 30% of the vote, John McCain gets 18%, and Rudy Giuliani gets 17%. I suspect that other polls will come out saying different things, but …

One of the questions that you have to ask when you see a big move in polls is what changed? Was there an event that a lot of people would have seen? Was there some sort of communications?

I was struck recently by this post at Cyclone Conservative:

Tonight, their phone rang to the voice of Governor Romney inviting them to participate in a live Tele-Townhall meeting. So I did. I must say, this was perhaps one of the coolest political ideas that I have seen come down the pipe in a long time. From one telephone, Romney can speak directly to literally thousands (and yes, there were thousands of people in on the call) of Iowans all across the state, who can stay in the comfort of their own home.

Between that and sending out 70k DVDs, Romney could have moved numbers. I suspect that it won’t be sustained, but it is clever.  As I’ve said before, the campaign is great. Too bad about the candidate.

Categories: Strategy

5 Comments

bjalder26 · May 20, 2007 at 9:14 PM

I suspect Romney’s Iowa numbers will only go up. He’s a brilliant campaigner, the kind of guy who can change minds through good ideas and clarity of thought. I have to wonder though why Romney is the first to campaign so effectively. It begs the question, what is wrong with our lifetime politicians. I think it shows that they aren’t as effective at organizing people and solving real world problems. Thank goodness, they will lose.

eye · May 20, 2007 at 9:40 PM

His foot is permanently in his mouth. He has no character and no values.

Eventually truth wins in politics. And when it does, Romney will lose.

cwpete · May 20, 2007 at 10:56 PM

I’m absolutely ecstatic that Romney is out polling Rudy & McCain with or without FDT & Newt in the early primary states. I very pleased that many are now seeing in Mitt what I’ve already seen. The man is smart, competent, articulate, a serious problem solver, and very presidential.
I am amazed by the vitriol spewed at Romney. Not just from Democrats, but by fellow Republicans. I may not agree with Rudy’s social liberalism or with McCain’s immigration policy, but I’d vote for both of them should they be our nominee. I can’t help but think that many here would never vote for Romney under any circumstances. This site in particular has been overly heavy-handed and critical of most things Romney. I’ve assume this is a site run by liberals.
I’m very excited that the media and others are paying more attention to Romney as they ought to. Romney will out fund raise for Q2. His organization will continue to grow and reap more dividends. You are only seeing the beginning here.

eye · May 20, 2007 at 11:11 PM

I am a Republican activist. I just find Romney very alarming and dangerous for our party.

We cannot afford to nominate someone with the character of Bill Clinton.

eyeon08.com » Romney’s tele-townhall’s and moving numbers · June 5, 2007 at 3:32 PM

[…] Romney’s tele-townhall’s and moving numbers digg_url = ‘http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/06/05/romneys-tele-townhalls-and-moving-numbers/’; digg_title = ‘Romney’s tele-townhall’s and moving numbers’; digg_bodytext = ‘Marc Ambinder has an interesting post about Romney’s performance in Iowa. He argues that voter contact is what is moving the numbers. I have made a similar argument in the past. InMuscatine recently participated in one of the tele-townhalls in which Romney answers questions for about a while. After talking to some people in Iowa […]’; digg_skin = “compact”; digg_topic = “politics”; ( function() { var ds=typeof digg_skin==’string’?digg_skin:”; var h=80; var w=52; if(ds==’compact’) { h=18; w=120; } var u=typeof digg_url==’string’?digg_url:(typeof DIGG_URL==’string’?DIGG_URL:window.location.href); document.write(“”); } )() Marc Ambinder has an interesting post about Romney’s performance in Iowa. He argues that voter contact is what is moving the numbers. I have made a similar argument in the past. InMuscatine recently participated in one of the tele-townhalls in which Romney answers questions for about a while. After talking to some people in Iowa recently, I was struck by this part of his post: […]

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