Comments on: Poll Watch: ARG Likely Primary Voters http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/ Merely an aggregation of a dispersed life online Sun, 29 Jan 2012 16:32:44 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.2 By: eye http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1925 eye Fri, 09 Mar 2007 19:27:28 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1925 I believe that there is a lot of softness in Giuliani's numbers. But, at the same time, he is a hero. I think that: (1) we don't know whether 9/11 trumps social issues. My hunch, for some GOP activists -- about a quarter? --, it does. (2) is the image of Giuliani totally fixed? Haven't decided yet. As I have said, campaigns are experiments. I believe that there is a lot of softness in Giuliani’s numbers. But, at the same time, he is a hero.

I think that:

(1) we don’t know whether 9/11 trumps social issues. My hunch, for some GOP activists — about a quarter? –, it does.

(2) is the image of Giuliani totally fixed? Haven’t decided yet.

As I have said, campaigns are experiments.

]]> By: Mark http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1924 Mark Fri, 09 Mar 2007 17:41:13 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1924 Just wondering what your thoughts are on Giuliani the front runner having less of a comand of the field at this point than Bush did in 2000. Alot of pundits have made a point of this. I'm not sure what to make of it myself. Just wondering what your thoughts are on Giuliani the front runner having less of a comand of the field at this point than Bush did in 2000. Alot of pundits have made a point of this. I’m not sure what to make of it myself.

]]> By: eye http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1923 eye Fri, 09 Mar 2007 03:50:13 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1923 What am I supposed to be explaining? What am I supposed to be explaining?

]]> By: Mark http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1922 Mark Fri, 09 Mar 2007 03:41:13 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1922 At this point in the election cycle in 2000 Bush was at 44%. Rudy's 10 points lower. Explanation? At this point in the election cycle in 2000 Bush was at 44%. Rudy’s 10 points lower. Explanation?

]]> By: eye http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1921 eye Thu, 08 Mar 2007 23:17:35 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1921 I think that we agree. I meant likely primary voters, not just IDd Ds and Rs. I think that we agree. I meant likely primary voters, not just IDd Ds and Rs.

]]> By: Mark http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1920 Mark Thu, 08 Mar 2007 22:49:56 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1920 ARG site says this: The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted March 2-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time. Looks like this is still a poll of identified D's and R's ARG site says this:
The following results are based on nationwide samples of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters conducted March 2-5, 2007. The theoretical margin of error for each sample is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 95% of the time.

Looks like this is still a poll of identified D’s and R’s

]]> By: Mark http://sorendayton.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/comment-page-1/#comment-1919 Mark Thu, 08 Mar 2007 22:47:27 +0000 http://www.eyeon08.com/2007/03/08/poll-watch-arg-likely-primary-voters/#comment-1919 Is anyone else surprised at Newt's number's given he's not a candidate. As well, if this i s most likely voters, it seem interesting that Newt's numbers are the same as Real Clear politics numbers for GOP primary voters? Is anyone else surprised at Newt’s number’s given he’s not a candidate. As well, if this i s most likely voters, it seem interesting that Newt’s numbers are the same as Real Clear politics numbers for GOP primary voters?

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